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Steve Cobb's avatar

This post was a good look at just one factor (Russian imperialism) in the multidimensional problem of

1) Why did Putin invade Ukraine? (and why does Russia now continue to fight?)

2) How much should the US care? (then and now)

"Let’s do a quick dive into Russian politics... Basically, it doesn’t exist... There’s some political opposition, which mostly emigrated abroad or incarcerated."

While "realists" talk about "Russia's" motivations, and usually blame NATO/US, you at least mention Russian politics. Yes, Russia had an opposition that threatened Putin (in the 2011–2013 protests), and he feared the example of a democratic Ukraine (where many of the opposition fled to).

I don't believe that Russia will continue expanding into Europe--Russia is incredibly weak (except for the nukes), and facing demographic challenges similar to Europe's. This is the Russian Empire's last gasp. However, does Europe want a bigger, more powerful corrupt empire closer to its border? An empire that collaborates with other adversarial regimes? That would be stupid. And both the US and UK gave Ukraine security assurances when it gave its nukes to Russia under the 1994 Budapest Memorandum. We're bound by honor, if not self-interest.

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